A Vance-lesson in Munich

2 min read

On the recent Munich Security Conference, U.S. Vice President JD Vance delivered a speech that has ignited a firestorm of debate across Europe.

Vance’s remarks centred on what he perceives as internal threats to European democracy, particularly focusing on issues of free speech and the annulment of Romania’s presidential election due to alleged Russian interference.

In his address, Vance accused European governments of undermining democratic institutions by censoring free speech and political opposition. He highlighted several instances, including social media shutdowns by Brussels, police actions against citizens in Germany for anti-feminist comments, Sweden’s conviction of a Christian activist, and the UK’s restrictions on religious rights. Vance argued that such actions represent a greater threat to European democracy than external adversaries like Russia or China.

His remark regarding Romanian elections also brought home the truth, ‘if your democracy can be destroyed with a few hundred thousand dollars of digital advertising from a foreign country, then it wasn’t very strong to begin with’.

A significant portion of Vance’s speech was dedicated to the recent political turmoil in Romania.

The country’s constitutional court annulled the first round of its presidential election following reports of Russian-backed interference, particularly a TikTok campaign promoting ultranationalist candidate Călin Georgescu. Georgescu’s unexpected lead in the initial voting round raised alarms about the integrity of the electoral process. (On a side note, the recent polls show that Georgescu is still the most popular candidate.) Romanian intelligence agencies reported a ‘highly organized’ campaign, with substantial funds spent to boost Georgescu’s online presence.

In response, Vance criticized the annulment, suggesting it undermined democratic legitimacy and comparing it to ‘Soviet-era practices’.

Vance’s assertions were met with swift and strong rebukes from European officials.

The loudest criticism arrived from Germany.

More or less all the German mainstream party leaders reacted.

German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius condemned the speech, emphasizing the importance of addressing external threats and maintaining unity among allies. Pistorius stated, ‘the transatlantic alliance is built on mutual respect and shared values. Undermining each other’s democratic processes only serves our adversaries’.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz also responded, rejecting ‘outsiders intervening in our democracy’. He emphasized that Germany would not accept foreign interference in its political processes, especially from allies.

The timing of Vance’s comments was particularly sensitive, as Germany then was only approaching a critical general election, won since by the Christian Democratic Union led by Chancellor-to-be Friedrich Merz and its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union. The far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) reached a historic high by coming in second at the elections, but locked out of power.

Even though they will be the most intense opposition – or a shock partner in some issues – the rise of the AfD has already unsettled the political landscape. Some analysts expressed concern that Vance’s remarks could embolden the phenomenon.

Vance’s speech also signals a potential shift in U.S. foreign policy under President Donald Trump’s administration.

The Biden administration supported, or at least accepted the Romanian authorities’ action on the election.

It looks like the Trump administration might have a different opinion.

In conclusion, Vice President JD Vance’s address at the Munich Security Conference has sparked a multifaceted debate on the state of European democracy, the integrity of electoral processes, and the future of international alliances.

As Germany heads into its election, the ripple effects of these discussions might influence the outcome.

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